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"Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition."
Don A. Moore et al. (2017)
- Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster, Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle H. Ungar, Philip Tetlock, Heather H. J. Yang, Elizabeth R. Tenney:
Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition. Manag. Sci. 63(11): 3552-3565 (2017)
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